ResearchChina's Political Economy: Theory and Evidence

The 21st Century China Center promotes original, timely and policy-relevant research on contemporary China. In addition to the individual work done by our scholars, the center has several large-scale and multi-year research studies underway, including a project funded by the Carnegie Corporation to look at the domestic roots of China’s foreign policy and a grant from the Smith Richardson Foundation that investigates political stability and elite level politics in China.

Working Papers

All working papers are in PDF format.

Ruixue Jia

Assistant Professor, GPS, UC San Diego  

"Elite Recruitment and Political Stability: The Impact of the Abolition of China's Civil Service Exam System," (May 2015), with Ying Bai.

"Individual vs. Social Motives in Identity Choice: Theory and Evidence from China," (May 2015), with Torsten Persson.

"Capitalism for the Children: Entrepreneurs with Cadre Parents Under Big Government," (December 2014), with Xiaohuan Lan.

"Pollution for Promotion," (April 2014).

Molly Roberts

Assistant Professor, Political Science, UC San Diego  

"How Sudden Censorship Can Increase Access to Information," (August 2016).

"How the Chinese Government Fabricates Social Media Posts for Strategic Distraction, not Engaged Argument," (August 2016).

“Experiencing Censorship Emboldens Internet Users and Decreases Government Support in China,” (May 2015).

Victor Shih

Associate Professor, GPS, UC San Diego  

“When the Autocrat Gives: Determinants of Fiscal Transfers in China,” with Liu Mingxing and Luke Qi Zhang.

Weiyi Shi

Assistant Professor, GPS, UC San Diego (2016)

“Symbolic Cooptation: The Chinese Political Consultative Congress,” (May 2014), with Dimitar Gueorguiev.

“Rethinking the Majoritarian Protection Bias,” (November 2013).

“Economic Diplomacy: Unpacking China’s Diplomatic Activities During the Hu Administration,” with Jiahua Yue.

“State Preference, Policy Distortion , and Outbound FDI:  Firm - Level Evidence from China,” (August 2014).

Yiqing Xu

Assistant Professor, Political Science, UC San Diego (2016)

“Outspoken Insiders:  Who Complains About the Government in Authoritarian China?" (September 2014), with Lily L. Tsai.

"Authoritarian Governance with Public Communication,” with Jidong Chen.

“Making Democracy Work: Culture, Social Capital and Elections in China,” in National Bureau of Economic Research (Working Paper No. 21058, April 2015), with Gerard Padro-i-Miquel, Nancy Qian and Yang Yao.

“China’s Ideological  Spectrum,” (April 2015), with Jennifer Pan.

Junjie Zhang

Former Associate Professor, GPS, UC San Diego  

"Economic impacts of climate change on agriculture: The importance of relative humidity and other climate variables," (April 2015), with Minpeng Chen and Peng Zhang.

"Air pollution and defensive expenditures: Evidence from Particulate-Filtering Facemasks," (November 2014), with Quan Mu.

"Population exposure to ambient PM2.5 pollution at the Subdistrict Level in China," (August 2014), with Ying Long, Jianghao Wang and Kang Wu.

"Is China on Track to Comply with Its 2020 Copenhagen Carbon Intensity Commitment?" (March 2014), with Can Wang and Yuan Yang.

"Carbon market, agglomeration externalities and wind power investment," (January 2012).

Recently Published Articles

Molly Roberts

Assistant Professor, Political Science, UC San Diego

“How Censorship in China Allows Government Criticism but Silences Collective Expression,” in American Political Science Review, Vol. 107 (May 2013): 1-18, with Gary King and Jennifer Pan.

“Reverse Engineering Chinese Censorship: Randomized Experimentation and Participant Observation,” in Science (August 2014), with Gary King and Jennifer Pan.

Junjie Zhang

Former Associate Professor, GPS, UC San Diego

"China’s hydrofluorocarbon challenge," in Nature Climate Change, Vol. 4 (October 2014): 943-945, with Can Wang.

"'Effortless perfection:' Do Chinese cities manipulate air pollution data?" in Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Vol. 68 No.2 (September 2014): 203-225 with Dalia Ghanem.

"Same dream, different beds: Can America and China take effective steps to solve the climate problem?" in Global Environmental Change, Vol. 24 (January 2014): 2-4, with Jun Bi, Robert Costanza, Daniel Guttman, Pan He, Roger Kasperson, Kejun Jiang, Lingxuan Liu, Miaomiao Liu, Daniel Mazmanian, Gail Osherenko, Robert Percival, Ye Qi, Haikun Wang, Oran R. Young, Bing Zhang and Shiqiu Zhang.

"Fiscal Decentralization and Environmental Infrastructure in China," in The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis and Policy, Vol. 13 No. 2 (July 2013): 733-759, with Antung Liu.

Yiqing Xu

Assistant Professor, Political Science, UC San Diego (2016)

“Information Manipulation and Reform in Authoritarian Regimes,” in Political Science Research and Methods, (June 2015): 1-16, with Jidong Chen.

“Sources of Authoritarian Responsiveness: A Field Experiment in China,” in  American Journal of Political Science, (February 2015), with Jidong Chen and Jennifer Pan.

“Informal Institutions, Collective Action, and Public Goods Expenditure in Rural China,” in American Political Science Review, Vol. 109 No. 2 (May 2015): 371-91, with Yang Yao.

Victor Shih

Associate Professor, GPS, UC San Diego  

“Guerrilla Capitalism: Revolutionary Legacy, Political Cleavage, and the Preservation of the Private Economy in Zhejiang,” in Journal of East Asian Studies, Vol. 13 (December 2013), with and Mingxing Liu and Qi Zhang.

“Getting Ahead in the Communist Party: Explaining the Advancement of Central Committee Members in China,” in American Political Science Review, Vol. 106 No. 1 (February 2012), with Christopher Adolph and Mingxing Liu.

"Interest Group Influence in Authoritarian States The Political Determinants of Chinese Exchange Rate Policy," in Comparative Political Studies, (2012), with David A, Steinberg.

Tai Ming Chueng

Associate Professor, GPS, UC San Diego; Director, UC Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation

“Planning for Innovation: Understanding China's Plans for Tech Energy Industrial and Defense Development,” in a report prepared for the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission (July 2016).

"From Exploitation to Innovation  Acquisition, Absorption, and Application," in China and Cybersecurity: Espionage, Strategy, and Politics in the Digital Domain, Oxford university Press, (April 2015), with John Lindsey.

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